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No Rest For The Chinese Markets

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China has dominated the media in 2018 and with trade discussions with the U.S still ongoing that is not likely to change for 2019. The country has been taking some hits in the markets recently which is not surprising as China has a lot of interests outside of the homeland. Here are a few factors … Continue reading “No Rest For The Chinese Markets”

China has dominated the media in 2018 and with trade discussions with the U.S still ongoing that is not likely to change for 2019. The country has been taking some hits in the markets recently which is not surprising as China has a lot of interests outside of the homeland. Here are a few factors that have the Chinese market on a wild ride.

Recent Tariffs

The recent Trade War between the US & China have negatively impacted both countries, however, Chinese manufacturers are feeling the hit more as the manufacturing index continues to decline. Toy manufacturers are calling the trade war ‘hell’ as business has slowed down and have taken into consideration moving their plants outside of China and to nearby countries, such as Vietnam, in order to avoid tariffs. Both countries have until March 2019 to come to a final decision in regards to the negotiations, however, if a decision has not been made, Trump will call for a recession, which expert analysts are deeming completely unnecessary. Founder of Cribstone Strategic Macro, Michael Harris in an interview with CNBC’s Squawk says “(Trump) has reduced his negotiating power with China. If we see a resolution on China, which would be crazy for Trump not to pursue that, because if there is a recession in History it will be called the Trump Recession because this is not a required recession.”

World Bank Says No

Despite being the second largest economy in the entire world, China has borrowed over $7.8 billion over the last 3 years. The Trump administration has kept an eye on the borrowing pattern of China and has partnered with the World Bank to properly control what seems to be China’s excessive borrowing. As a nation that lends billions to aid in the development of other countries, lawyers are concerned with how this may impact the economy, “We must end the World Bank’s lending to China, especially at a time when Beijing itself saddling itself with countries with predatory debt on unfair terms. Growing the Chinese economy is not the World Bank’s job.” says Brad Sherman who is a member of the House Financial Services and Foreign Affairs committee.

Apple Woes

The most recent dip in price for Apple is partly due to consumers in Chinese consumers believing that the phone is not worth the ‘high’ prices it is being sold for. Fact is, China makes up approximately 20% of Apple’s global market, so when 20% of your consumers stop buying your products, what are you left with? The undiscounted prices of iPhones have resulted in Huawei becoming the number one vendor in China. The patriotic, Chinese consumers have now adapted to what is being referred to as the ‘Huawei Effect’, not only are they contributing to the growth of a local brand, but the price of Huawei’s products play a significant role in consumer demand. This may boost the overall Chinese market within the next couple of years as Huawei developers aim to produce 5G capable phones within the year, leaving Apple with hopes of producing same by 2020 – “Apple will also be left behind on (the) 5G tech integration curve as Chinese brands will be at least a couple (of) years ahead,” according to research director Neil Shah.

 

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Digicel Settles For Less

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Telecommunications provider Digicel Group disclosed a new deal that has been largely accepted by irate bondholders, which includes concessions on a better interest rate for one bond and for the other, reducing the amount of debt set for an extension. The new bond swap offer also cuts the amount of debt to be refinanced by … Continue reading “Digicel Settles For Less”

Telecommunications provider Digicel Group disclosed a new deal that has been largely accepted by irate bondholders, which includes concessions on a better interest rate for one bond and for the other, reducing the amount of debt set for an extension.

The new bond swap offer also cuts the amount of debt to be refinanced by a third.

“Digicel received from holders valid and unrevoked tenders of $1.89 billion aggregate principal amount of the existing 2020 notes,” said the telecoms in a statement aimed at overseas bondholders.

Digicel reported 94.7 per cent acceptance of its bond refinancing offer on December 19. Other bondholders had up to Friday, December 21 to participate in the swap that extends the maturity of the debt by two years.

Initially, Digicel was seeking to refinance US$3 billion of its bonds but was forced to revise its offer after bondholders revolted.

The new plan sees up to US$1 billion of 2020 notes extended to 2022 at the initial offer rate of 8.25 per cent. That tranche was originally targeted to swap US$2 billion of bonds for longer maturities.

The second tranche of debt remains at US$1 billion and will be extended from 2022 to 2024. The difference, however, is in the interest rate, which will move from 7.125 per cent being swapped for 9.125 per cent. The original offer was to increase the interest rate to 8.25 per cent.

In September, independent bondholders hired the law firm Akin Gump to seek better refinancing terms from the telecoms. That group of independent bondholders represented some 60 per cent of the funds set for refinancing.

Digicel Group’s leverage hovers at 6.7 times gross debt-to-EBITDA. The original refinancing offer was expected to eventually cut that by ‘one turn’ to 5.7 times, but with the new offer, it’s unclear what precise debt levels will result from the transaction.

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Access Financial Services Ltd Making Moves

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One very vital aim of any company is to grow in value and to return to its shareholders. That is exactly what our Junior Market player Access Financial Services Limited [JSE: AFS] is doing.

Operating through 25 branches and one of the leading providers of personal and business loans in Jamaica, Access Financial (AFS) has dispensed over J$ 15 billion dollars to its customers. The company has funded many individuals and SME businesses, which has aided in the development of the economy; the more money in circulation, the more money spent, and the more companies being funded, the higher the rate of creation of jobs.

In an effort to maintain market competitiveness, Access Financial (AFS) has a significant interest in a Florida based consumer finance firm. Though full details of the transaction are not yet available, we can confidently say ‘it’s a good look’. Not only has the company now broadened its access offshore but will now claim another piece of the market share, thus increasing market sentiment.

The Junior Market is known for holding companies that provide growth to its investors, and Access Financial (AFS) will certainly not be pardoned. Recently, two other acquisitions were finalized, Micro Credit Ltd and the assets of its rival, Damark Ltd, resulting in an 11% increase in their loan booked from J$ 26 billion. Even though all companies involved are within the Microfinancing industry, diversification in their risk profiles made a significant difference, growing loans 5% over what was expected in that period.

In the first quarter ended June 30, 2018 (Q1 2018), Access Financial (AFS) reported an exceptional 16% increase in Net Profit to J$ 217 million from J$ 188 million for the same period of 2017. This was attributable to the simultaneous increase in revenues and a decrease in expenses, something most companies dream of. Operating income increased by a whopping J$ 58 million in Q1 2018 over Q1 2017 and a just as good J$ 26 million decrease in Operating Expenses.

Can there be more?

Yes!

Though the company’s ROE fell by 8% year-over-year, they have still managed to boast an excellent 40% ROE in Q1 2018 and a J$ 0.10 or 15% increase in EPS year-over-year. There was also an increase of J$ 665 million in their asset base due to focusing on the betterment of their strategies and shifting their market positions.

With their positive news, growth and strong financials, Access Financials has now set a precedent for what is to come.

Over the past year, AFS’s stock price has seen a slow but steady growth of $5.30. Closing yesterday at J$ 45.50, we will have to watch and see how the market reacts.

Can the company maintain its momentum?

Will Access be denied the positive market reaction with its new ventures?

I am eager to see!

Are you?

 

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RJR – The Media Giant with Little to No Growth

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Jamaica’s Independence welcomed broadcast television on August 6, 1963, through successful execution by then public broadcasting firm Jamaica Broadcasting Corporation (JBC). Due to financial constraints, content was imported from the United States and UK. RJR Communications Group, now taking the spot as market leader in the industry, has introduced modern technologies, innovation and investigative journalism. The Group was established in 1897, and listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange [JSE] in 1994.

But since then how has their presence in the market benefited shareholders?

RJR Communications Group is the largest communications group in Jamaica, boasting five radio stations, television channels such as; Television Jamaica (TVJ), Jamaica News Network (JNN) and RETV, The Gleaner, and The Star, and an online streaming platform One Spot Media. Subsidiary company Multimedia Jamaica Limited, also forms part of the group, geared towards providing new enhanced technologies and business solutions to the market. The company participated in a merger process between RJR communications and The Gleaner Company [JSE:1834] in 2016. Managing Director Gary Allen, stated that the intention of the merger was “…to accelerate the pace of innovation to deliver superior products and services within the marketplace..”

Has the company successfully achieved that?

Radio Jamaica Limited [JSE:RJR], home to over 12,000 shareholders is most notably challenged by a ‘soft market’, that is flooded with more sellers than buyers, who are unattracted by the company’s performance; noticeable in the slow movement in capital growth. Year-to-date, the stock price has fallen by 18%, and within the last 6 months the only stock that fell by 22%. Even with exclusive rights to the recently concluded FIFA World Cup 2018, the company reported a disappointing 10% increase in profits. The company’s unaudited financial statements for the quarter ending June 2018, reported an after-tax loss of $70 million, 48% higher than the corresponding quarter in 2017. RJR has also seen a reduction in income by 47%.

Why are shareholders still standing by RJR?

The shareholders that remain loyal to the company are optimistic that the company’s broad stream of income and presence within the diaspora, will eventually make a turnaround in the future.

Are shareholders willing to go further with RJR?

Between 2014 and 2018, the stock has traded at a high of $6.00 in January 2016-assumed to be in anticipation of the merger and a low of $0.87 on October 23, 2018. Since the merger, the share price has fluctuated significantly.

As the market moves away from print media and television, it is imperative that RJR constantly adjusts its strategy to keep up with these changes to remain competitive. Without this adjustment, the share price and profits will continue to fall, as shareholders loses interest in the company. The potential to rise to become a top performing stock is possible, however is RJR willing to be reactive and utilize its resources to make an improvement?

 

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Big IBM Deal Raises Eyebrows

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One of our technology giants International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) [NYSE: IBM], headquartered in New York, is now another company that has been added to the list as acquiring.

IBM’s business includes, but not limited to, manufacturing and marketing hardware and software products. The company has invented several products we have used in the past and are now using, including the floppy disk, hard disk drive, dynamic random-access memory and one of the most widely used technologies for bank transactions, the automated teller machine (ATM). They also specialize in research and holds the record, as of 2018 and for 25 consecutive years, for the most U.S. patents generated by a business.

As we know, one strategy companies use in order to deepen their market penetration and sentiment, is by acquiring or merging with companies that are sharper in different key areas of a company.

This is one strategy IBM is using.

According to numerous financial sites and blogs, including Bloomberg, IBM has made an announcement that they are soon to have significant interest in an open-source software company, Red Hat [NYSE: RHT]. The deal includes IBM purchasing the company for US$ 190.00 per share.

How much does this work out to?

US$ 34 Billion! Yes, Billion. That is approximately J$ 4.63 Trillion! That figure would cover the cost  of 184,000 houses at J$ 25 Million, send over 300,000 students to medical school or just money to do or buy absolutely anything you wanted for the rest of your life. This would be life changing money to secure generations’.

But! That is nothing for IBM. They see it as an investment and it sure is one.

Recently, market sentiment had decreased for Red Hat, even with a market cap of almost US$ 20.5 Billion and being the leading Linux company, they had not only missed its revenue estimates but missed the target set by Wall Street.

However, this is going to be the biggest open-source business deal ever!

One person who would more than be confident about this acquisition would be the CEO of IBM. Ginni Rometty, CEO of IBM, is more than confident about the deal and expressed how he feels about the it and the benefits it will bring. He said “The acquisition of Red Hat is a game-changer. It changes everything about the cloud market. IBM will become the world’s #1 hybrid cloud provider, offering companies the only cloud solution that will unlock the full value of the cloud for their businesses.”

This gives IBM the cutting edge over many companies who have not even reached half way through their cloud journey. Here, the company has found a way to not only drive growth but also boost the value of its business. It is through this, that the company can also establish different strategies and processes, creating more efficiency through the integration of all parts of the business; pushing them to their highest level possible, all from the beginning of the process chain to the very end.

Red Hat’s CEO also commented and is pleased with the deal being conducted with IBM. He believes that this acquisition will provide them with the resources and capabilities needed to broaden market share and bring more knowledge about open source in today’s world. Despite this acquisition however, Red Hat still wishes to maintain their commitment and uniqueness they brought to the technology world.

Though IBM’s revenue has decreased by a little over 2% year-over-year to 18.76 Billion for their last quarter, the company still has 5.5 times the market share of Red Hat, provides investors with a 38% return based on stock price and is a great dividend play of 5%. This of course is a stock for investors with a risky appetite but is also great for income.

IBM closed on October 26, 2018 at 124.79, just 1 dollar away from its 52-week low. It may just be a time to BUY!

 

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Asset Allocation, Your Best Option When Investing

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Asset Allocation is the strategic mix of financial securities (equities, bonds, real estate) in an individual’s investment portfolio. The primary objective of Asset Allocation is to maximize returns while minimizing risk. The percentage of allocation for each asset class is determined by the investor’s overall risk appetite and tolerance, and not necessarily the level of investment.

If you have a low tolerance for risk and a very conservative risk appetite, you will invest $1,000,000 the same way you would $10,000. Being aware of your risk appetite and tolerance is the foundation for every investment decision. Your risk tolerance is the amount of loss you’re willing to actually accept versus your risk appetite which is the amount of potential loss you’re willing to be exposed to.

One way to determine your risk appetite is setting a Risk Baseline.

Establishing a risk baseline will outline the amount of loss you will be able to withstand financially. This will also contribute to  the general weighting of your investments across your portfolio.

Diversification is key and a main factor in asset allocation.

Concentrating all your investment in one area runs you at a higher risk to lose everything and over-diversifying, can negatively impact your portfolio. Yes, investing in different sectors is beneficial but spreading the investment too thin can reduce the quality of the overall portfolio. For example, in a portfolio with thirty securities, you may have ten that are performing exceptionally, and twenty that have a below-average performance. That of the twenty may significantly dilute the value of the overall portfolio. Diversification is therefore is not necessarily done to maximize gains, but to minimize risk.

Another key factor to consider in asset allocation is your need for liquidity.

Along with your risk appetite and your risk tolerance, you will need to select your ideal time horizon, whether you desire to invest short-term, intermediately, or long-term.

For investments to be easily liquidated, individuals should typically place a higher percentage of their assets into a class that holds mainly short-term fixed income securities. Though this low-risk, it will generally yield comfortable returns for your portfolio.

Asset classes yielding higher risks along with higher returns making up the majority of the portfolio, may appeal more to an investor aiming to gain more over a longer time.

Below is an example of a portfolio belonging to a moderate investor with an intermediate time horizon.

15% Bonds

35% Large-cap equities

25% Small-cap equities

25% Cash & equivalents

All in all, asset allocation is involved in every aspect of the investment stage.

 

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The Impact of Veganism on the Economy

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The term veganism is used to define a lifestyle adopted by an individual that excludes all animal by-products, inclusive of dairy, meat, materials made from animal skin, as well as anything that has been clinically tested on animals.

In recent years, the decision to go ‘vegan’ has become quite popular amongst consumers, and for various reasons. While most have chosen the vegan lifestyle for the sake of animal-cruelty, others have adopted this route as a healthier way of life.

Of course, the option to go vegan has definitely put a damper on sales for dairy and meat producers. In 2017, after 92 years of operations, Elmhurst, one of America’s longest-running dairies made the decision to switch to entirely produce and distribute plant-based milk. This was after being impacted by the 7% decline in the index in 2015, and a projected 11% through to 2020. Dairy producers succumbed to trying different methods of manufacturing milk, such as drying, donating the excess, along with additional sales, to try and appeal to consumers.

However, this has not ceased the significant fall in sales leaving a vast surplus of milk. The fall in demand for milk can be used as a strategy for creameries to reinvent themselves. After conducting extensive research, beverage analyst, Elizabeth Sisel, concludes “While consumer trends are not favouring dairy milk, brands have an opportunity to re-engage consumers by developing innovative offerings that focus on improving already favourable aspects such as taste profile and nutritional value. It’s also important for brands to highlight that dairy milk is not just beneficial for bone health, but may also provide other benefits for consumers’ overall well-being as compared to non-dairy milk”.

On a brighter note, veganism has made some positive changes to the market. Now operating as Elmhurst Milked, CEO Henry Schwartz is in full support of the direction the market is moving towards, stating “We strongly believe that plant-based foods are the future and our goal is to vastly improve upon non-dairy alternatives by making them more delicious and nutritious, thus bringing more sustainable and healthful options to households across America.” Plant-based dairy alternatives have made a notable profit on the market. With a surge of 20% in growth, producing $700million in sales, producers are building a solid foundation for investors.

In 2018, the US Vegan Climate Index (VEGAN) was established to differentiate companies that contribute to the usage of animals for production from those trying to decrease their carbon footprint. This is done through a screening process where investment professionals look in depth into corporations that may be associated with or that partakes in activities involving the exploitation of animals.

Any company that is found to be capitalizing on the endangerment of animals is excluded from this index. Since 2013 VEGAN has unfailingly scored higher returns than that of the Solactive US Large Cap Index. VEGAN’s 10% return since the beginning of 2018 is above 8.7% for Solactive.

According to Bruce Friedrich, executive director at the Good Food Institute, a US-based non-profit organization that promotes the use of plant-based products, “The growth of the plant-based sector in 2017 exceeded even my optimistic projections. The news from the meat industry itself was especially encouraging and 2018 is sure to continue the accelerating growth of plant-based meat.”

 

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What Is Trade Protectionism?

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Trade protectionism is a type of policy that limits unfair competition from foreign industries. It’s a politically motivated defensive measure.

In the short run, it works.

But it is very destructive in the long term. It makes the country and its industries less competitive in international trade.

Countries use a variety of strategies to protect their trade. One way is to enact tariffs that tax imports. That immediately raises the price of imported goods. They become less competitive when compared to local products. This method works the best for countries with a lot of imports, such as the United States.

A second way of protecting trade is when the government subsidies local industries. Subsidies come in the form of tax credits or even direct payments. That allows producers to lower the price of local goods and services making local products cheaper. Subsidies work even better than tariffs. This method works best for countries that rely mainly on exports.

A third method is to impose quotas on imported goods. This method is more effective than the first two. No matter how low a foreign country sets the price through subsidies, it can’t ship more goods.

Most textbooks omit the fourth type of trade protectionism because it is subtle. It is a deliberate attempt by a country to lower its currency value. This would make its exports cheaper and more competitive. This method can result in retaliation and start a currency war. One way countries can lower their currency’s value through a fixed exchange rate. This is like China’s yuan. Another way is by creating so much national debt that it has the same effect, like the U.S. dollar decline.

Advantages

If a country is trying to grow strong in a new industry, tariffs will protect it from foreign competitors. That gives the new industry’s companies time to develop their competitive advantages.

Trade Protectionism also temporarily creates jobs for domestic workers. The protection of tariffs, quotas, or subsidies allows local companies to hire locally. This benefit ends once other countries retaliate by erecting their protectionism.

Disadvantages

In the long term, trade protectionism weakens the industry. Without competition, companies within the industry do not need to innovate. Eventually, the domestic product will decline in quality and be more expensive than what foreign competitors produce.

Free Trade Agreements

Free trade agreements reduce or eliminate tariffs and quotas between trading partners. The most significant agreement is the North American Free Trade Agreement. It is between the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The Trans-Pacific Partnership would have been broader. But President Trump withdrew the United States from that agreement. As a result, the other involved countries are forming their own accord. If China decides to join them, it will replace NAFTA as the world’s largest trade pact.

Also in the running for the world’s largest trade agreement would have been the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership. It was between the European Union and the United States.

A sizeable multilateral trade pact is the Dominican Republic-Central American Free Trade Agreement, which is between the United States and Central America. There are also bilateral agreements with Chile, Colombia, Panama, Peru, Uruguay, and most countries in Southeast Asia. The United States also has agreements with the Middle Eastern countries of Israel, Jordan, Morocco, Bahrain, and Oman.

Despite their disadvantages for some, free trade agreements have more pros than cons.

 

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The Fall of Sears, Which Retailer Is Next?

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Once known as the largest retailer in America, Sears Holding Corporation [NASDAQ: SHLD] filed for bankruptcy last week,  after a long wave of excessive borrowing, drastic fall in sales and an inability to compete within the booming e-commerce market.

Founder Richard Sears started the business by selling jewellery. The creativity and successful business model executed by Sears, led to the opening of many retail stores, the first in 1925.  Soon after, competitors of the large conglomerate were wiped out of business as Sears provided what the market wanted in one location.

Throughout its lifespan, Sears has made many acquisitions the most notably is K-Mart in 2005.  K-Mart grew as quickly as Sears, opening 3,500 stores across the 50 states dominating the retail market.

On October 15, 2018, the 125-year-old company filed a Chapter 11- Business Bankruptcy, with an estimated $1 billion in assets and $10 billion in debt. For years, the company has suffered from record low sales, increase competition and snowballing debt.

The recent announcement by outgoing CEO Edward Lampert states that “…a difficult retail environment, unsatisfactory operating performance, and legacy liabilities…” has impacted the business and resulted in filing for bankruptcy. Some features of the restructuring plan include, Lampert, stepping down as CEO, and 142 stores to close by year-end, with the fate of 250 stores still unknown.

In 2004, a business week story named Lampert “the next Warren Buffet”, however that positive sentiment was short-lived as news spread about poor management practices and limited knowledge of business operations has contributed to the business failure even as he generously injected $1B into the business to keep Sears afloat.

Similar to Sears obliterating many general stores back when it started, the same is happening to the American retailers as competitors like Amazon take over.

Amazon.com Inc [NASDAQ: AMZN] success, comes from Jeff Bezos ability to keep abreast of the shifts from in-store shopping to online shopping and have consistently been adjusting [AMZN’s] business model to accommodate these changes.

The American e-commerce company reported an increase in net income by 1186.3% when compared to the same quarter one year prior. Sears,  however, has underperformed in both the S&P 500 and the Retail industry, with a net income -$508m, a 103.2%decrease, when compared to the same quarter last year. The stock’s performance over the last year has fallen by 94.56%.

Chapter 11 is not the dark hole where businesses go to die. There have been successful restructuring as in the case of General Motors [NYSE: GM], who triumphantly exited Chapter 11-Bankruptcy after 40 days.

Regardless of the result, this is a strong warning to businesses and investors alike to pay attention to industry trends? Consumers are no longer following the traditional means of shopping, brick and mortar no longer has the pull and no business is too big to fail.

Who’s next?

Macy [NYSE: M]?

J.C. Penney [NYSE: JCP]?

 

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5 Tips for Creating a Financial Plan

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Spending without a plan is like ‘driving blind’.

Is your intention to continue living between pay cheques, or to create a lifestyle that gives you financial freedom?

A financial plan is a blueprint for your financial decisions, to ensure that the future of your finance is secure.

Here are a few tips on how you can create your financial blueprint:

Create Multiple Income Streams

Do you have a skill that you can turn into additional income? Why not take that opportunity to offer a service or product that you can earn from? The traditional 9-5 income can become a strain as the average employee may struggle to use one income to cover their daily needs. In addition, as jobs no longer remain ‘secure’, it reinforces the importance of having additional revenue to cover such an unfortunate event. If entrepreneurship is not your cup of tea, consider diversifying your investment portfolio to include instruments which pay dividends or coupons. Consider including, for example, common stock AT&T Inc. [NYSE: T] which has a quarterly dividend yield of 6.49% or Citi Group Inc bond which pays a 6.3% coupon semi-annually.  Rental income can also be used to generate revenue. Owning a home is an unrealised revenue until the property is sold, so if you have an in-demand location and a few free rooms, you can turn your space into passive income and even make it apart of your retirement planning.

Purchase Insurance

Though we can never be fully prepared for an emergency, purchasing insurance policies can significantly reduce your exposure to financial losses. Policies can be purchased to protect you from property damage, business interruption, health scares and even provide for your family in the event you pass away.

Practice Comparative Shopping

Purchasing the latest gadget or trying to keep up with the newest fashion trend can run you into significant financial trouble. The next time you have an urge to make a purchase, consider taking the time to compare the prices. E-commerce now makes it easy to differentiate the offerings of different retailers and identify ways to capitalise on bargains. You can still be trendy without the high cost.

Be consistent

Spending without a plan is almost always costly. Set a budget, realistic goals and hold yourself accountable to your financial decisions. Always check your bank accounts regularly and be prepared to adjust your financial plans to include life changes such as the birth of a child or a career change.

Automate Saving & Investing

If you find it challenging to save or invest, make it easier by setting up a salary deduction or standing order to have an amount automatically deducted from your income, that way you won’t have easy access to the funds to make bad spending decisions.

  • Are you getting a bonus this holiday?
  • Do you expect to get a salary raise?

Consider ignoring the new funds by putting it toward investing or increasing your savings.

Formulate a plan, and make deliberate choices to shape your financial decisions. If you fail to plan for your financial future, the outcome will be failure.

Take that first step today to create a financial plan, and stop relying on your finances to survive on auto-pilot!

Creating your financial freedom is easier than you think!

 

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Kingston Wharves’ Profits Coming In By The Boatload

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What started out as a small company utilizing the advantages of sea transportation in Downtown Kingston in 1945, Kingston Wharves Limited [JSE: KW] has transformed into a group of companies offering services that include inventory management, warehousing, warehousing rental arrangements, product repackaging, inventory control and distribution for international clients, with labelling and assembling.

In the last 12 years, Kingston Wharves has been named the Caribbean’s leading multipurpose port six (6) times. Considered one of the largest, state of the art ports in the English-speaking Caribbean, this multi-purpose port is now well on its way to earning yet another title by utilising the increasing popularity of technology to become paperless.

KW in collaborating with the Government of Jamaica (GOJ) announced plans to build a 300,000 sq. ft. warehouse in the Special Economic Zone. The Special Economic Zone (SEZ) is an area designated for businesses that will receive subsidies/ incentives from the government. In addition to tax holidays, companies within the SEZ adhere to policies that include increases in investing, trading, job creation and effective administration along with labour and customs regulations.

Chief Operating Officer, Mark Williams, “(KW) has made considerable investments in its infrastructure including the opening of its state-of-the-art US$30million total logistic facility which offers a more efficient retrieval and delivery process.”

Trading as low as J$30.05 earlier this year, Kingston Wharves price has increased by 146%!

In Quarter 2 of this year, KW net profits increased by 14%. Terminal Operations recorded $855 million in profit, 18% or $128million more than 2017’s. Kingston Wharves’ Logistics & Services Department was not left out of the race with an increase of 22%  in revenues and a 3% increase to $197million in profits.

Not limited to just the Caribbean, KW currently partners with over 40 shipping ports worldwide and several local businesses such as Automotive Logistics, the evolution of their clientele since launching the 2 logistics hubs in December of last year.

The development of the Global Auto Logistics Centre (GALC) at the end of 2017 aids local automotive dealers, such as JetCon and ATL Automotive, to increase revenue by putting in place a channel to increase the volume of vehicles being brought into the company  and capitalizing on lower pre-inspection rates and storage facilities that fall under the SEZ.

Shareholders are eager to witness the future profitability of Kingston Wharves Limited. “I believe that the synergies at KW will allow for a window to better serve customers and grow our presence in the Jamaican market.” – William Brown, Chairman of Pas Cargo Jamaica.

Contributing writer: Abigail Coke

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Time’s Up Google

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Several thousands of supporters globally joined forces on Thursday, November 1, 2018, to protest Google Inc. [NASDAQ: GOOGL] following a recent New York Times publication highlighting the way in which one of the world’s largest corporations handles sexual misconduct.

The case of Andrew “Andy” Rubin shocked the world, initiating a global walkout. After multiple reports of inappropriate relationships with subordinates going back to decades.

As the ‘father of Androids’, it was no secret that Rubin had significant leverage in the companies he is a part.

In 2014, his many reports came to light, Google gave him the option of resigning with a compensation package of US$90m to be paid out in monthly installments over 4 years, the $360 million worth of shares that were given to him over the years, and the delayed repayment of the $14 million that they had lent him to purchase a beach estate in Japan, and investing heavily in his next business venture still intact.

History shows that the company has a habit of giving male executives who have been reported for sexual harassment hefty exit packages to “sweep the problem under the rug”. In the last decade, three (3) of the company’s top male executives have been the subject of credible reports made by female staff, two (2) of which have since left the company, with compensation.

The third, on the other hand, remains as one of the top executives. David Drummond’s career at the organization has not slowed down. Joining the company in 2002 as a legal counsel, the now Chief Legal Officer for Alphabet Inc. and Chairman of Google’s Venture Capital Fund, CapitalG seems to be reaping benefits, not accountability.

Employees, as well as outsiders, are enraged with the tactless way Google handles sexual misconducts. With 1,500 confirmed supporters, organizers were warmed by the support of several thousand worldwide. Arranged to start in Tokyo, employees from the various offices in Europe and the United States began to protest at 11:10 am across the respective time zones.

“Time’s up”, “Not O.K. Google” and “Don’t be evil” are just some of the terms written on hundreds of thousands of signs. An email sent out by Google to its employees stated that since 2016 over 48 people have been fired without any compensation from the company for sexual misconduct claims.

This email, however, only fuelled the angered protestors more.

One of Google’s engineers for over 10 years, Liz Fong-Jones, an activist on workplace issues, spoke out saying “When Google covers up harassment and passes the trash, it contributes to an environment where people don’t feel safe in reporting misconduct. They suspect that nothing will happen, or worse, that the men will be paid, and the women will be pushed aside.”

The time for women to tolerate unwanted advances has ended.

The time for excuses like, “oh that’s just how he is”.

The time for being silent has ended.

The time for inequality has ended.

The time for bias has ended.

Time’s Up.

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FosRich Sheds Light On Becoming A Manufacturer!

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FosRich Company Limited (JSE: FOSRICH) is at again!

On December 19, 2017, the company officially listing on the Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE) junior market after a successful public offering led by Jamaica’s second oldest brokerage house, Stocks and Securities Limited (SSL).

The lighting, electrical and solar energy products company led by managing director and founder, Mr Cecil Foster, was oversubscribed by $100 million and closed within a minute after opening. The aim was to raise over $200 million at $2 per share with an offer of 20% of the company or 100,455,111 shares. The intended use of the proceeds was to expand the industrial electrical and energy solutions divisions which leads one to speculate that talks of becoming a manufacturer may be in that area.

At the recent monthly Mayberry Investor Forum, Mr Foster was tight-lipped about the product they will be manufacturing however he had this to say, “We are going to be engaged in local manufacturing of a certain product line that is used every day in Jamaica”.

At this point, your guess is as good mine as to what that may be. This bold step to venture into the manufacturing industry is a part of FosRich’s three-year growth plan.

According to Mr Foster, the company “lose about 30 – 35%  from not manufacturing it here, so that alone puts us in a spot to approach the market. The market is $20 billion to $30 billion and all we want to do within the first year and a half is get 3%  of the market. I cannot tell you what it is now, but we eventually want to export to the Caribbean”. With hopes to start as early as next year, Mr Foster made it clear that financing the expansion will be done in a “unique way”.

Despite fierce competition, FosRich is determined to shine bright and grab a niche in the market segment for itself. The plan to go all out in the sale of industrial cables, wall and floor panelling will see the company going up against competitor giants led by the Chinese, Spanish and local developers who service large projects.

But they have done well for themselves and undertaken projects which includes a partnership with financial institutions to helping homeowners go green through renewable energy solutions. FosRich served as the local contractor to supply floodlights at Sabina Park in Kingston and supplied the Jamaica Public Service Company Limited (JPSCo) with LED energy saving smart streetlights among others.

As FosRich continues on its successful path, it saw profit going up 153% at $10.4 million the third quarter of the year when compared to $4.1 million of the same period last year. Revenue also grew to $353 million when compared to $232 million.

In spite of this incredible performance, Mr. Foster stated that “We feel if we strengthen the core business at FosRich, then we can do numbers that don’t look like baby numbers. We are positioning ourselves to be that preferred credible person in the market”.

 

 

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Trade Tensions Spooking Investors, Doesn’t Spell Well For Quarter Four Earnings

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Halloween might be around the corner, but the spook-fest has already started for some investors after the market pullback a few days ago.

The Federal Reserve is expected to increase rates three times in 2019, and therefore, a tighter financial market is anticipated for the foreseeable future.

This means that there will be greater competition for capital as the yield on short-term bonds increases and also contributes to falling equity prices.

Investors have reset their return requirements across asset classes, given the heightened ambiguity and rising short-term yields.

Part of the recent equity market drop was due to concerns about the intensity of the U.S.-China trade dispute. Many multinational corporations are allegedly concerned that market uncertainty will affect not only price but also earnings.

Trade tensions may not eradicate global growth but pose a threat to trade protectionism which directly impacts many corporate organisations.

The decline in MSCI World Index last week was the index’s second-largest weekly drop in 2018, although global equities remain in positive territory year-to-date.

Equity markets have seen a sharp rotation in leadership, with momentum shares under-performing. The rise in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields at the start of last week came after Fed officials’ hawkish commentary which pushed up market expectations for the path of U.S. policy rates. The rise in market yields has been driven by higher real rates and a higher term premium, often associated with increased uncertainty.

Corporate earnings are supported by sustained above-trend global growth which adds to the equities over fixed income preference as well as portfolio resilience strategy recommended.  Poor Q4 performing companies risk unforgiving market sentiments straight into 2019.

While risk cannot be excluded in investing, investors are recommended to choose quality equity exposures such as companies with resilient earnings and stronger balance sheets. As mentioned earlier, investors should consider going short on fixed income corporates and private placements.

Ideally, the rise in yields should eventually point to higher returns across asset classes long-term. This shift in market dynamic reinforces SSL philosophy on building greater resilience in portfolios.

 

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Endless Possibilities For Blockchain

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Blockchain technology is a digitised, decentralised, public ledger of all cryptocurrency transactions, creating blocks and records them in chronological order.

Blockchain allows market participants to keep track of digital currency transactions without central recordkeeping. Each node is connected to the network and gets a copy of the blockchain and downloaded automatically.

Initially created as an accounting method for the virtual currency Bitcoin, Blockchain has the potential to be used outside of cryptocurrency with the assistance of a distributed ledger technology (DLT).

As we know, the technology is primarily used to verify transactions within digital currencies, though it is possible to digitize, code and insert practically any document into the blockchain, doing so by creating a permanent record that cannot be changed; furthermore, the record’s authenticity can be verified by the entire community using the blockchain instead of a single centralized authority.

ADVANTAGES

Electronic ledgers are much cheaper to maintain than traditional accounting systems; the employee headcount in back offices can be greatly reduced.

Nearly fully automated DLT systems result in far fewer errors and the elimination of repetitive confirmation steps.

Blockchain allows for the reduction of transaction cost by eliminating third-party intermediaries and overhead cost for exchanging assets; blockchains have the significantly reduce transaction fees.

DISADVANTAGES

Massive Energy Consumption as Blockchain miners attempts trillion of solutions per second to validate transition, thus requiring a considerable amount of computer power.

Despite strong encryption and permission blockchains, cybersecurity is still a concern to the public given data is decentralised and there is a fear of entrusting personal data to a blockchain solution.

Due to blockchain creating permanent records, resolving challenges such as transaction speed, data limits, the verification process is much more complicated.

Currently, all remote transactions, financial or otherwise, rely on the authentication from a central authority for the execution of both parties’ transaction. But, with the birth of the blockchain system, gave rise to a new system referred to as ‘Smart Contracts’ which was more associated with the cryptocurrency Ethereum. With that said, according to Investopedia, it is a “self-executing contract between buyer and seller, directly written into lines of code. The code and the agreements contained therein exist across a distributed, decentralised blockchain network.” That being said, Smart Contracts provides a quick and seamless alternative for multiple parties across different countries for conducting transactions without the central bank, legal system or external enforcement forces authentication, by permitting trusted sales and agreements to be carried out after the parties have met pre-existing conditions defined in the blockchain system. Furthermore, they render transactions traceable, transparent, and irreversible.

Currently, companies are adopting the use of the revolutionary Blockchain technology, some of which include giants such as Amazon.com Inc. [NASDAQ: AMZN], Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. [NYSE: BABA], Microsoft Corp [NASDAQ: MSFT], International Business Machine Corp [NYSE: IBM], all finding uses of the system to make their internal processes more efficient and meeting the needs of consumers unquenching thirst for convenience.

Moreover, stock exchanges have started adopting the use of the tech, with the first one to test its system Nasdaq Inc. [NASDAQ: NDAQ]. Additionally, within our shores, the Jamaica Stock Exchange [JSE: JSE] announces its intention to explore cryptocurrency.

What are your views, do you think Blockchain technology will create the avenue for what financial institutions, stock exchanges, corporations, and consumers have been searching for decades to have an efficient and seamless transaction process across borders?

 

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Goals and Why You Should Consider A Cash Fund

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Goals play a significant role in investing, and we tend to aspire and make plans to ensure that our future is secured. But, what about the possible short-term needs which may pop up unexpectedly?

How does your portfolio react to something that is unexpected?

Do you need to change your car after an accident or take a vacation to rejuvenate the mind?

Do you have enough funds to cover your family in an emergency?

Investors should think to prepare and ensure that their portfolio offers enough diversity and liquidity for any possible situation.  One may ask, what are the other options to assist with short-term goal achievement? In consulting with your financial advisor, you may discuss the inclusion of Collective Investment Scheme (CIS) as this may be another avenue that allows investors to have short-term cash and, in some cases, increased returns.

CIS can take various forms such as a cash-like fund that is usually high value earning with little to no risks and short maturity periods. If we take a step back and assess our needs, ad hoc situations will require access funds that may be tied up. With a fund like CIS, investors can withdraw at any time without any associated penalties or losses.

All fees associated with these funds are usually lower and less complicated than other types of investments. This equates to more cash in hand for optimal use as dividend earnings are always up to date.

On the flip side, the low risks associated with these funds often results in higher interest rates over its maturity period which may provide solid returns. However, this might not be a viable option for younger conservative investors. Yes, funds boast liquidity, competitive rates, low fees, diversity and stability but can all investors sustain it?

When in doubt talk to your financial advisor about the possible options to meet your goals as these short-term investments may erode the overall quality of your portfolio by stifling growth in other areas, that is; limiting capital injection to your other investments to supply funds to these funds for a quicker rate of reaction.

Be cautious in deciding!

 

If you liked this article and want to read other great stories, try our Archives. Also if you are new to investing you can try our Investment Basics Blog.

If you want to start investing with SSL but don’t have the time to monitor the market or to conduct the trades yourself then you can choose one of SSL’s managed Financial Planning products. We offer a variety of products for every type of investor and if you are interested in managing online trades yourself and having complete control over your investment portfolio then you can try SSL’s Brokerage account.

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The Jamaica Stock Exchange International Status

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Formerly known as the ‘Kingston Stock Exchange’, the Jamaica Stock Exchange began trading on February 3, 1969. The 49-year-old company became publicly owned in June 2008, listing on its own exchange under the ticker JSE.

Six years later, JSE became the 16th member of the United Nations Sustainable Stock Exchanges (SSE). Their aim, to provide a platform that allows efficient and effective communication amongst various stock exchanges in countries worldwide.

In 2015, Bloomberg rated the Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE) as the number one stock exchange in the world!

The stock exchange surged more than 80%, surpassing the performance of other indexes globally such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Euro Stoxx 50.

What are some other factors that contributed to this excellent performance?

The Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE) launched the Caribbean’s first online trading platform in May of 2015. This certainly caught the attention of investment ‘gurus’ around the world as well as local retail investors. With the tax break given to companies that list, business has been booming for JSE as entrepreneurs utilise the markets rather than take the typical loans avenue. Launching its Junior Market in 2009, which jumped 160% in 2015, allows for smaller companies to list in order to raise capital, despite being unable to meet the criteria to list on the bigger markets.

Fast forward to October 2018; Jamaica once again has dominated the world of investments!

In the last five years, the Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE) has remarkably exceeded the 73% and 86% rally of the S&P 500 and Vietnam’s Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange, respectively.  Soaring its way to the top with a massive 233% rally, which produced a 19% increase in dollar value alone for this year.

Jamaica’s index outperformed approximately 100 other equity gauges according to Bloomberg.

While the country struggles with issues such as crime, brain drain and debt, trading has become instrumental in the average Jamaican’s life. Since 2015, approximately 22 companies have listed on the stock exchange with another four slated for the quarter four of 2018.

The finance ministry in conjunction with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) aims to achieve an annual economic growth of 5% by 2020. This will take a combination of strategic moves from both the public and private sector as well as a reduction in debt levels.

Jamaicans are shifting from saving to investment mode due to low-interest rates and financial literacy.

“The world is discovering the potential of our beloved country, the largest English-speaking Caribbean island set squarely in the centre of the Americas.” – Jean Lowrie-Chin of Jamaica Observer wrote in 2015.

 

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Going For Gold

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2018 proved considerably eventful as the stock markets experienced several pullbacks during the first quarter. While Quarter 2 was generally more favourable,  as NASDAQ, S&P 500 and oil markets captured most of the growth. Naturally, as the markets go up, Gold moved in the opposite direction. The price rose by 4% in the first three months of the year, only to finish in June by -4%.

Three factors stand out that affect Gold’s performance:

  1. A strengthening US dollar;
  2. Higher investor threshold for headline risk;
  3. Soft physical gold demand.

In the long-term gold’s has a positive relationship to economic

growth but in the short-term, its performance is sensitive to risk and uncertainty. The dual nature of gold could benefit from key macroeconomic trends developing in the second half of the year.

Investors should position for:

  • positive but uneven global economic growth;
  • trade wars and their impact on currency;
  • rising inflation and an inverted yield curve.

Also, gold’s recent pullback is supportive of consumer demand, as low prices tend to spur buying; at the same, it may provide attractive entry levels for investors.

Drivers of the gold price are grouped into four categories:

  1. Wealth and economic expansion;
  2. Market risk and uncertainty;
  3. Opportunity cost;
  4. Momentum and positioning.

The dollar has strengthened over the past few months, making its most significant appreciation since the last quarter of 2016. It would be easy to apportion this trend to higher US interest rates, but rates have been increasing consistently since the end of 2016 – a period during which

the US dollar generally depreciated.

Instead, the dollar strength is due to a combination of two factors:

  • continued easy monetary policy in other parts of the world;
  • an understanding that the US may be better placed to benefit from trade wars.

In the face of continuing stock price rises, US bond markets seem to be placing a greater probability on higher inflation and lower growth. While it’s impossible to time the market, investors have generally profited from holding gold during periods of economic deceleration.

Current key trends support gold demand and while the summer period tends to be a quiet period for gold trading, the price has tended to increase in September-November as consumers prepare for a traditional buying period and investors re-balance their portfolios before the end of the year.

 

If you liked this article and want to read other great stories, try our Archives. Also if you are new to investing you can try our Investment Basics Blog.

If you want to start investing with SSL but don’t have the time to monitor the market or to conduct the trades yourself then you can choose one of SSL’s managed Financial Planning products. We offer a variety of products for every type of investor and if you are interested in managing online trades yourself and having complete control over your investment portfolio then you can try SSL’s Brokerage account.

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How to Shape Your Investment Future

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While you are bombarded with advice on how to make your money grow, financial skills should become a natural part of your lifestyle for your investment future. Some of these skills are; keep up to date on literature directly related to investing, business and market performance, and actively conversing with experts within the field. These are just some of the things that will help to transform anyone into a good investor and develop good financial habits.

Developing investment skills comes with continuous practice just like in every other thing we do in life. It takes commitment and drive to achieve.

Do you remember how hard it was to ride your bicycle initially?

How many times did you fall? But for every instance, you got up and tried again until you were proficient at riding.

Naturally, being a new investor, you are more susceptible to errors due lack of expertise and required skill-set that will cause you to stumble.  Investing is never a gamble and as such, it should involve varying strategies to create positive yields for impressionable results.

Some strategies employed for improved investment quality and overall growth include but are not limited to the following:

  1. Never Procrastinate: Wealth can be lost within seconds and as a result, you should allow your money to work for you! Start investing now, if you are unsure, your advisor will guide you accordingly.
  2. Never Risk Capital: Do not place funds on unknown or limited avenues with a negative expectancy rate.
  3. Reinvest Profits: Once there is an exponential gain on an investment, funds gained should be re-worked within your portfolio to exceed your initial investment and passive income.
  4. Plan for loss: Ensure that the risks taken, and the losses endured are managed and under control to limit erosion of your portfolio.

Once these simple strategies have been employed, you can safely say you are on the right path to wealth generation. It therein shapes a positive future which changes your mindset to create questions such as; how much wealth can I accumulate over [X] period? What are the expected timelines for you to achieve your plans?

Investing is a balance of defensively and offensively plays that fortifies your portfolio in any given climate. As Murphy’s Law dictates “whatever can go wrong, will go wrong…”, your investments should be well structured to eliminate maximum risk exposure while being low enough to improve your potential to purchase and develop your portfolio.

Never build a portfolio that does not react well to market conditions. Oftentimes investors make the mistake of building robust portfolios with little to no possibility of liquidity. In garnering your experiences, certain hedge funds and/or bonds will pose the risk of illiquidity this limits flexibility to the market when there is an unfortunate event such as a crash. This will limit your ability to sell, ultimately losing capital or an opportunity to take gains and latitude within your portfolio. These decisions should be discussed with your advisor or financial institution as this could limit your views on investing thereafter.

Lastly, do not be deterred or negatively influenced by the costs associated with trade and management fees. These fees may seem high as a new investor and may hinder your judgement in deciding on a good investment. However, ensure to ask the following:

What are the returns and how does it correlate to the growth on capital?

Do they surpass or meet the expected results?

In most cases, the returns will be far greater and will leave you happy with your decision to pay them, creating that well needed balance!

Once all the above have been considered your investment future should be steadily aligned for wealth and continuous growth for future years.

 

 

If you liked this article and want to read other great stories, try our Archives. Also if you are new to investing you can try our Investment Basics Blog.

If you want to start investing with SSL but don’t have the time to monitor the market or to conduct the trades yourself then you can choose one of SSL’s managed Financial Planning products. We offer a variety of products for every type of investor and if you are interested in managing online trades yourself and having complete control over your investment portfolio then you can try SSL’s Brokerage account.

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Best Time To Invest Is …

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When is the best time to Invest

If you are anything like me when I started to invest, the question that lingers your mind is “Am I buying stocks at the right time?”

I have learnt that timing the market is not a good strategy and all the best investors in the world make calculated guesses about the market. This, however, should not deter you from investing and if you are still reading this it’s clear that you are interested in learning more.

Here is a guide to help you to make that decision.

Do not waste time

The misguided notion that you need a lot of money to start investing is false. Do you have disposable income set aside? Or reallocate a portion from your already low-interest rate savings account? Various stocks and funds exist on the market to suit any budget.

The longer you spend contemplating whether it is the right time, the more you are missing out on the opportunity to benefit. Take for example Kingston Wharves [JSE: KW], I witnessed the stock trading at $45.85 on July 2, 2018, hesitant to purchase the stock at that price I gave it time. On October 10th, the stock last traded at $82.99, that is an 81% increase in stock price in 3 months!

Learn from my mistake!

The sooner you invest the greater the benefit in the long run.

Price Dips

A dip in the share price may indeed mean an ‘unrealized’ loss for your portfolio and as a new investor you may have some concern, but look at it this way, if your favourite clothing store had a sale of up to 50% off wouldn’t you capitalize on this discount?

The concept is the price of your securities will fluctuate occasionally, and that is sometimes your opportunity to buy at a lower price or discount and average down. A data scandal earlier this year resulted in the social media giant, Facebook’s [NASDAQ: FB] stock price to decline by over 17%, the stock price later recovered by nearly double.

That being said, it is that not all companies can recover from scandals. Conversely, it is important to research the company’s financials to assess whether it’s a good entry point or its time to exit. Be mindful of ‘media noise,’ which may be deliberately attempting to affect a share price.

Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)

“An initial public offering is when a private company or corporation raises investment capital by offering its stock to the public for the first time”- Investopedia.

A company’s initial entry to the market offers an opportunity to purchase stocks at a low price and benefit from significant capital appreciation. Before you do, take a look at the prospectus issued by companies and gain an understanding of their financial position, management, markets, and plans for the future to decide whether the IPO is worth your investment.

Investing is not for the faint of heart and only those who are in for the long-term will reap the most.

Start today, call us and commit to investing.

The perfect time to invest is now!

 

If you liked this article and want to read other great stories, try our Archives. Also if you are new to investing you can try our Investment Basics Blog.

If you want to start investing with SSL but don’t have the time to monitor the market or to conduct the trades yourself then you can choose one of SSL’s managed Financial Planning products. We offer a variety of products for every type of investor and if you are interested in managing online trades yourself and having complete control over your investment portfolio then you can try SSL’s Brokerage account.

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